Justin Herbert NFL MVP Odds: Chargers QB Among Favorites in 2022

Justin Herbert NFL MVP odds are live on all major sportsbooks in the US. And all those sportsbooks have Los Angeles Chargers’ young quarterback near the top of the heap. Herbert will have stiff competition. However, the oddsmakers are projecting that he will have an awesome season.

You can find the best Herbert MVP odds on BetMGM and FanDuel. Both sites have him listed at +900. The current favorite across all sportsbooks is Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen.

There is a wide belief among NFL experts that the Chargers are about to take a gigantic step forward into Super Bowl contention. If they are going to do that, Herbert will need to perform like one of the top QBs in the league. If does, the Chargers should expect to win a lot of games. We will also see Herbert’s MVP odds creep up closer to Allen’s.

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Justin Herbert in the Top 5 in NFL MVP Odds

PlayerTeamCaesars SportsbookDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGM
Josh AllenBills+700+700+700+700
Patrick MahomesChiefs+800+900+800+800
Tom BradyBuccaneers+900+800+800+800
Justin HerbertChargers+1000+1000+900+900
Aaron RodgersPackers+1000+1000+1000+900
Joe BurrowBengals+1300+1200+1200+1200
Dak PrescottCowboys+1600+1600+1200+1200
Russell WilsonBroncos+1600+1400+1400+1400
Matthew StaffordRams+1600+1500+1400+1400

Odds listed for four of the top sportsbooks as of Aug. 1, 2022.

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Is It Justin Herbert’s Time?

As we inch closer and closer to the start of the 2022-23 season, Herbert is looking to lead the Chargers to the playoffs for the first time since 2018. However, if he wants to secure a seat at the NFL MVP discussion table, he’ll need to be better than he was in his first two seasons in the league.

Herbert is one of the NFL’s rising young stars. He has made the Miami Dolphins look like fools for passing on him in the 2020 NFL Draft, winning the Offensive Rookie of the Year award in 2020 and being named to his first Pro Bowl in 2021.

Unfortunately for fans, Herbert’s great play has not yet translated into team success. The Chargers went 7-9 in his first year and 9-8 last season, missing the playoffs both times.

The league is filling up with star young quarterbacks. Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow. There are wily veterans that aren’t showing any signs of slowing down. Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson. Not to mention the recent new additions to the league that are still looking to make their mark. Mac Jones, Trevor Lawrence, Trey Lance.

Herbert could be better than all of them. We’ve seen flashes of greatness from him during his short career. But if he wants to be considered a true MVP candidate, he’ll need to make sure that awesome play also leads to wins for the Chargers.

Chargers Set for Tough AFC West Race

Winning for the Chargers is easier said than done. They are smack-dab in the middle of what is likely the toughest division ever.

In most seasons, each division will have two, maybe three playoff-caliber teams. The 2022 AFC West is boasting four teams that can legitimately say they have plans to win the Super Bowl. Not just make the playoffs, but make a run at a title.

The Kansas City Chiefs have had a stranglehold on the division for the past six seasons. They may have lost wideout Tyreek Hill to the Miami Dolphins, but they still have Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and head coach Andy Reid. They are a threat.

Last season, the Las Vegas Raiders overcame off-the-field drama, not only to make the playoffs but to also knock out the Chargers in a Week 18 win-or-go-home scenario. Piggybacking off that, the Raiders brought in former Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels to be their head coach and Davante Adams, arguably the best wide receiver in the game.

Then there are the Denver Broncos, who have finally found a quarterback after trading for Russell Wilson. Denver already has a top-end defense. By simply bringing in Wilson, the team has massively improved its offense.

If the Chargers want to help Herbert’s NFL MVP odds, they’ll likely have to win this gauntlet of a division. Good luck, Bolts.

Justin Herbert NFL MVP Betting Breakdown

When it is all said and done, Herbert should be right in the thick of things when it comes to the NFL MVP race.

He’s got great weapons on offense in Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Austin Ekeler. And the Chargers’ defense should be much improved with J.C. Jackson and Khalil Mack joining Joey Bosa, Derwin James, and company. Betting on Herbert at +900 right now is a smart wager. He’s high enough that the risk isn’t too great and he is low enough that you can get a decent reward on a potential wager.

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NFL MVP Betting History

Below, you’ll see the top three vote-getters for NFL MVP over the past 10 seasons. You’ll also see the MVP winner’s preseason odds. If you made preseason MVP bets on Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson to win in 2018 and 2019, “Lady Luck” must be your best friend.

YearNFL MVP Winner2nd Place3rd Place
2021Aaron Rodgers (+800)Tom BradyCooper Kupp
2020Aaron Rodgers (+2200)Josh AllenPatrick Mahomes
2019Lamar Jackson (+8000)NANA
2018Patrick Mahomes (+10000)Drew BreesNA
2017Tom Brady (+400)Todd GurleyCarson Wentz
2016Matt Ryan (+9000)Tom BradyDerek Carr
2015Cam Newton (+1500)Tom BradyCarson Palmer
2014Aaron Rodgers (+600)J.J. WattDeMarco Murray
2013Peyton Manning (+600)Tom BradyNA
2012Adrian Peterson (+4000)Peyton ManningNA

NFL MVPs from the Los Angeles Chargers

The Los Angeles Chargers were established on Aug. 14, 1959. In their 63-year history, only one Chargers player has ever been named NFL MVP.

Back in 2006, LaDainian Tomlinson was toting the rock for the then-San Diego Chargers. “LT” had a monster campaign, setting the record for most rushing touchdowns in a season with 28. Tomlinson would finish his record-breaking season with 2,323 yards from scrimmage and 31 total touchdowns (28 rushing, three receiving).

San Diego finished with a franchise-best 14–2 record in 2006. However, it would go on to lose to the New England Patriots lose in the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs.

Other NFL Player Futures Bets

There are a ton of options for customers interested in NFL player futures bets. Most major sportsbooks offer a wide range, including:

  • Will any player break the record for most passing touchdowns in a season?
  • Which player will lead the NFL in regular season rushing yards?
  • Who will record the most sacks this season?
  • Parlays: Will Player A have the most passing yards and Player B have the most receiving yards this season?

You can also place futures bets on player totals. For example:

  • Justin Herbert passing yards total: Over/Under 4,700.5 yards
  • Austin Ekeler rushing touchdowns total: Over/Under 8.5
  • Keenan Allen receptions total: Over/Under 100.5

Justin Herbert NFL MVP Odds FAQs

What do NFL MVP odds mean?

California sportsbooks use odds based on a $100 wager for an awards future bet like NFL MVP. For example, +200 is the same as 2-to-1, meaning a $100 bet that wins would pay out $200. So, +1000 would net you $1,000 on a $100 bet.

How is the NFL MVP decided?

The Associated Press hands out the NFL MVP. At the end of the regular season, but before the playoffs begin, 50 sportswriters all vote on which NFL player was the most valuable during that regular season. How the term “most valuable” is defined is up to the people with the votes. By looking at the history of the award winners, we can see there are certain characteristics that voters look for when making their decision.

They look at a player’s statistics and accomplishments. For quarterbacks, yards and touchdowns are the classic categories for analyzing a potential MVP. Team success is also a major component. No one is going to win the MVP if their team finishes last in the NFL.

Where do I find NFL MVP odds?

Most sportsbooks list NFL MVP award odds under “NFL Futures” or in a section called “NFL Awards” or simply “awards.” You can bookmark a page in a sportsbook within your web browser (either laptop or mobile device), and return to it regularly to see how the odds shift.

How often are NFL MVP odds updated?

During the NFL season, the odds will move often — every week based on injury and player/team performance. It’s rare for a player on a bad team to win the award, so if a team gets off to a bad start to the season, that player will typically plummet in the odds. The NFL MVP race is important to keep an eye on because odds can shift quite a bit based on week-to-week action.

About the Author

C.J. Pierre

C.J. Pierre is a Lead Writer at CA Casinos, currently residing in the Phoenix-Metro Area in Arizona. He has been covering news and sports for over a decade for both online and TV broadcasts. He was born and raised in Minneapolis and an alum of Minnesota State University: Moorhead. He recently dove into tribal casino news. He also covered the launch of sports betting in Arizona. C.J. has experience as a reporter and videographer and has covered high school, college and professional sports throughout his career. Most notably following Arizona Cardinals, Phoenix Suns, Minnesota Vikings and North Dakota State University football.